Analysis of the Russian National Wealth Fund potential for financing expanded pension programs in the context of contemporary challenges
https://doi.org/10.26425/2309-3633-2025-13-1-13-23
Abstract
The Russian National Welfare Fund of Russia (hereinafter referred to as the Fund) is an important instrument for ensuring financial stability and long-term economic security of the state. In the context of demographic changes and the funds shortage to finance the pension system, there is a need to find additional sources of financing, including through the effective use of the Fund.
The relevance of the study lies in the need for a rethinking approach to the use of the Fund’s resources to solve the issues of long-term social security in Russia.
The purpose of the study is to assess the potential of the Fund for financing extended pension provision programs in the context of modern challenges and global experience of sovereign fund management.
To achieve the purpose, the methods of comparative analysis, modeling of financial needs of the pension provision system, and the Fund’s existing investment strategy analysis were used. It has been established that the current size of the Fund is insufficient to cover the pension system deficit in the long term. Key limitations for the Fund’s effective investment in the Russian financial market have been identified. The study results have shown that in order to realize the goals of pension financing it is necessary to significantly increase the capital of the Fund and revise its investment policy. Ways to optimize the investment strategy, including diversification of assets and internal financial instruments development for long-term savings, have been proposed. It has been concluded that comprehensive changes in the Fund’s management are necessary, including political and economic measures aimed at increasing its capitalization and improving the efficiency of its assets use.
Keywords
About the Author
M. L. DorofeevRussian Federation
Mikhail L. Dorofeev, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Assoc. Prof.
Public Finance Department
125167; 49/2, Leningradsky prospekt; Moscow
References
1. Ablaev E.Yu., Sudarev D.A. Budgetary Rules in the System of Priorities of the Budgetary Policy of Russia. ECO. 2024;5(54):202–223. (In Russian).
2. Balynin I.V. Transformation of gold and currency structure of the National Welfare Fund in current geo-economic reality. Fundamental Research. 2024;10:10–15. (In Russian). doi: 10.17513/fr.43681
3. Benashvili I.S. Modern challenges and prospects of the Russian pension system. Economic Security. 2023;4(15). (In Russian).
4. Berzon N.I., Doroshin D.I. Peculiarities of application of financial investments efficiency indicators. Finance and Credit. 2012;14(494):21–34. (In Russian).
5. Dorofeev M.L. Actual financial strategies for management of Russian National Welfare Fund. Nauchnye vedomosti Belgorodogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ekonomika. Informatika. 2019;4(46):652–668. (In Russian). doi: 10.18413/2411-3808-2019-46-4-652-668
6. Dorofeev M.L. Financial strategies for the National Welfare Fund of the Russian Federation in modern conditions. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedenii. Ekonomika, finansy i upravlenie proizvodstvom. 2020;1(43):12–19. (In Russian).
7. Dorofeev M.L. Transformation of the Russian pension system in the conditions of global challenges: strategies and solutions. Finansovaya politika. 2023;3(21):77–89. (In Russian).
8. Ivanov V.I., Sokolova L.E. Role of state financial support of pension programs in the conditions of global economic changes. Ekonomika i prognozirovanie. 2024;2(22):98–110. (In Russian).
9. Kadatskaya S.V., Sukhoverkhova S.P. Funds formed at the expense of oil and gas revenues of the budget: Russian and foreign experience. In: Financial law system in the conditions of digital transformation of economic relations: Doctrine and legal reality : Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference, Moscow, November 25, 2022, Moscow: Russian State University of Justice; 2023. (In Russian).
10. Knyazeva E.G., Shadurskaya M.M., Boitush O.A. et al. Sovereign funds: Theory, evolution, foreign experience. Ekaterinburg: Ural Federal University; 2023. 126 p. (In Russian).
11. Kutsuri G.N., Vasin E.A. Sovereign funds management. Moscow: Unity-Dana; 2022. 198 p. (In Russian).
12. Lavrova S.Yu. Long-term economic forecasts for the Russian pension system: Current trends and challenges. Social policy issues. 2022;4(17):46–59. (In Russian).
13. Pavlova N.V. Pension provision models in countries with developing economies: Experience and lessons for Russia. Vestnik ekonomicheskoi teorii. 2023;3(6):55–71. (In Russian).
14. Safonov A.L., Ugodnikov K.V. Indexation of pension payments: Finding a balance between inflation and wage changes in the economy. Finance: Theory and Practice. 2022;1(26):156–168. (In Russian). doi: 10.26794/2587-5671-2022-26-1-156-168
15. Shmigol N.S. Changing the investment strategies of sovereign wealth funds. Financial Life. 2020;4:85–87. (In Russian).
16. Soloviev A.K. Problems of Application of the Substitution Coefficient as a Criterion of Efficiency of the Pension System of Russia. Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2022;2(191):80–93. (In Russian).
17. Taldonova S.S. Interim results and lessons of the pension co-financing program. Siberian Financial School. 2021;3:73–78. (In Russian). doi: 10.34020/1993-4386-2021-3-73-78
18. Tsvirko S.E. Sovereign funds of Singapore: features of investment under modern conditions. World Economy and World Finance. 2023;2(2):23–29. (In Russian). doi: 10.24412/2949-6454-2023-0100
Review
For citations:
Dorofeev M.L. Analysis of the Russian National Wealth Fund potential for financing expanded pension programs in the context of contemporary challenges. UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia). 2025;13(1):13-23. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26425/2309-3633-2025-13-1-13-23