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Forecasting in Crisis Management Organization

https://doi.org/10.12737/22795

Abstract

The relevance of scientific research in the field of crisis management due to the depressed state of the Russian economy, including its business sector. One of the important directions of the scientific school of the Department of corporate management is forecasting the development of the organization in crisis. The article defines the essence of anti-crisis forecasting, its objective, stages and influencing factors. Special attention is given to forecasting methods, their classification, selection criteria. The contribution of famous Russian and foreign scientists to the theory of forecasting of bankruptcy of the organization, a comparative analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of different methods of forecasting. The list of critical indicators of the probability of bankruptcy.

About the Author

V. N. Lokhanova
FSBEI HE State University of Management
Russian Federation
Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, “Corporate Governance” Department


References

1. Babanov A.V. Otsenka finansovogo polozheniya predpriyatiya i opredelenie optimal’noy modeli veroyatnosti bankrotstva predpriyatiya [Assessment of the financial situation of the enterprise and definition of optimum model of the probability of bankruptcy]. Effektivnoe antikrizisnoe upravlenie [Effective crisis management]. 2015, I. 5, pp. 26-33.

2. Kondratyev K.V., Chursina A.Y. Diagnostika bankrotstva predpriyatiya v sovremennykh usloviyakh [Diagnostics of bankruptcy of the enterprise in modern conditions]. Moscow, LAP Lambert Academic Publishing, 2013.

3. Kuziboev E.N. Prognozirovanie i planirovanie v usloviyakh rynka [Forecasting and planning in market conditions]. Moscow, INFRA-M Publ., 2012.

4. Troshin A.N., Fedorova L.A. Prognozirovanie ustoychivosti razvitiya naukoemkikh proizvodstv aviatsionnogo klastera Rossii [Forecasting of sustainable development of high-tech industries aviation cluster Russia].Problemy prognozirovaniya [Problems of forecasting]. 2015, pp. 43-52.

5. Fedorova G.V. Uchet i analiz bankrotstv [Accounting and analysis of bankruptcies]. Moscow, Omega-L Publ., 2014.


Review

For citations:


Lokhanova V.N. Forecasting in Crisis Management Organization. UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia). 2016;(4):91-98. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.12737/22795

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ISSN 2309-3633 (Print)
ISSN 2713-1645 (Online)