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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">manguu</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Управление</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia)</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2309-3633</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2713-1645</issn><publisher><publisher-name>State University of Management</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.26425/2309-3633-2024-12-4-23-33</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">manguu-750</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>УПРАВЛЕНИЕ В СФЕРЕ ЭКОНОМИКИ: ПРОБЛЕМЫ И ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MANAGEMENT IN ECONOMY: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Сравнительный анализ эталонных  финансово-инвестиционных моделей  социального обеспечения и  оценка  долгосрочных перспектив их  трансформации  под влиянием глобальных вызовов</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Comparative analysis of  benchmark financial  and investment models of  social welfare  and assessment of  their long-term prospects  for transformation under the influence  of  global challenges</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2829-9900</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Дорофеев</surname><given-names>М. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dorofeev</surname><given-names>M. L.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Дорофеев Михаил Львович, канд. экон. наук, доц. каф. общественных финансов</p><p>125167, Ленинградский пр-кт, 49/2, г. Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mikhail L. Dorofeev, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Assoc. Рrof. at the Public Finance Department</p><p>49/2, Leningradsky prospect, Moscow 125167</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">dorofeevml@ya.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>27</day><month>01</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>12</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>23</fpage><lpage>33</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Дорофеев М.Л., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Дорофеев М.Л.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Dorofeev M.L.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://upravlenie.guu.ru/jour/article/view/750">https://upravlenie.guu.ru/jour/article/view/750</self-uri><abstract><p>Социальное обеспечение (далее – СО), включая его несистемные формы, существует уже несколько столетий и представляет собой важный элемент экономической системы, направленный на преодоление бедности, защиту уязвимых групп населения и обеспечение социальной справедливости. Изменение роли государства в регулировании экономики, особенно в XX в., ускорило развитие систем СО и повысило уровень социальной защиты в разных странах мира. Демографические трансформации, рост численности населения и продолжительности жизни создали благоприятные условия для улучшения социальной защиты в прошлом веке. Однако сегодня внешняя среда для функционирования этих систем становится менее благоприятной: старение населения, быстрый технологический прогресс, изменение структуры рынка труда и другие глобальные вызовы способствуют их дальнейшей трансформации. В работе проведен сравнительный анализ эталонных финансово-инвестиционных моделей СО (далее – ФИМСО) Бисмарка, Бевериджа и скандинавской модели. Систематизированы и проанализированы факторы, влияющие на становление и трансформацию современных ФИМСО в долгосрочной перспективе. Государству рекомендуется повышать эффективность ФИМСО государственного типа и стимулировать развитие ФИМСО негосударственного типа в секторах, где возможна самоокупаемость. Для этого целесообразно проводить стимулирующую финансовую политику, основанную на налоговых льготах, программах софинансирования и повышения финансовой грамотности населения.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Social welfare, including its non-systemic forms, has existed for several centuries and represents an important element of the economic system aimed at overcoming poverty, protecting vulnerable groups, and ensuring social justice. Changes in the role of the state in regulating the economy, particularly in the 20th century, has accelerated the development of the social welfare systems and improved the social protection level in various countries around the world. Demographic changes, population growth, and increase in population and life expectancy have created favourable conditions for improving social protection in the past century. However, today the external environment for the functioning of these systems becomes less favourable: population aging, rapid technological progress, changes in labour market structures, and other global challenges contribute to their further transformation. The article provides a comparative analysis of the benchmark financial and investment models of social welfare (hereinafter referred to as FIMSW) of Bismarck, Beveridge, and the Scandinavian model. It systematises and analyses the factors affecting the establishment and transformation of modern FIMSW in the long term. The state is advised to increase the efficiency of public-type FIMSW and encourage the development of private-type FIMSW in sectors where self-sufficiency is possible. To achieve this, it is advisable to implement stimulating financial policies based on tax incentives, programmes for co-financing and increasing financial literacy of the population.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>социальное обеспечение</kwd><kwd>социальная защита</kwd><kwd>старение населения</kwd><kwd>рынок труда</kwd><kwd>технологический прогресс</kwd><kwd>социальные риски</kwd><kwd>ФИМСО</kwd><kwd>модель Бисмарка</kwd><kwd>модель Бевериджа</kwd><kwd>cкандинавская модель социального обеспечения</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>social welfare</kwd><kwd>social protection</kwd><kwd>population aging</kwd><kwd>labour market</kwd><kwd>technological progress</kwd><kwd>social risks</kwd><kwd>FIMSW</kwd><kwd>Bismarck  model</kwd><kwd>Beveridge model</kwd><kwd>Scandinavian social welfare model</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Работа подготовлена по результатам исследований, выполненных за счет бюджетных средств по государственному заданию Финансового университета при Правительстве Российской Федерации.</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The article has been prepared based on the research conducted at the expense of budgetary funds within the state assignment of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Вишневский А.Г. 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